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The China light van segment

The China light van segment

A dynamic market with increasing volume and shifting needs

The light van market in China seems to be a long-forgotten segment for foreign OEMs. The market is mostly in low-tier cities and rural areas where customers have limited budgets. As a result, most foreign OEMs have not paid too much attention to it, despite the size of the market (around 3 million units in 2014). Yet upcoming regulation and a shift in customer usage may modify the current market landscape and open a new door for foreign players.

Released: March 2015

Download File ADL_ChinaLightVanSegment.pdf (.PDF, 844 Kb)

Safety governance: Getting it right

Safety governance: Getting it right

Exercising effective safety governance across large, diverse corporations

As companies become increasingly consolidated, the challenge for their boards and executive leadership teams are to decide what form of corporate safety governance is required, and how leadership will support the effective implementation of this governance across their company’s constituent businesses.

Released: March 2015

Download File ADL_Safety_Governance.pdf (.PDF, 458 Kb)

Where now for oil?

Where now for oil?

Recent market turmoil is not likely to last - a new normal is in the making for oil and gas prices

The recent precipitous fall in oil was predicted by almost no-one. In this viewpoint we attempt to explain the economics of the change and highlight an emerging “new normal” for oil prices in which a medium term recovery occurs, but prices stay below US$80 per barrel. We also highlight the implications of this new normal.

Released: March 2015

Download File ADL_Where_now_for_oil.pdf (.PDF, 519 Kb)

Systematizing Breakthrough Innovation

Systematizing Breakthrough Innovation

Findings from the Arthur D. Little Breakthrough Innovation Survey

It is increasingly important for companies to be able to deliver a pipeline of Breakthrough (or Radical) Innovations in order to respond to emerging competition, disruptions to core business, and increasing customer power. For example, in five years’ time, companies in our survey expect the revenue contribution of Breakthrough Innovations to be double the current levels. Yet despite this, nearly all (88%) of companies are unsatisfied with their efforts to date. In order to achieve replicable, effective Breakthrough Innovation, our survey indicated several key success factors, including having an explicit Breakthrough strategy with clear and quantified goals, single-point accountability and commitment at top management levels, cross-functional involvement, ring-fenced funding, active intrapreneur roles and agile processes.

Released: February 2015

Download File ADL_2015_Systematizing_Breakthrough_Innovation.pdf (.PDF, 438 Kb)

French media in the crisis: storm or tsunami?

French media in the crisis: storm or tsunami?

Arthur D. Little France Media Flow of Funds

The French media market is undergoing a profound transformation as a result of the economic crisis, but also because of structural changes such as the development of digital media and the emergence of new forms of consumption.

With its unique Media Flow of Funds methodology Arthur D. Little provides insight into the speed and main beneficiaries of this transformation.

Released: February 2015

Download File ADL_FlowOfFundsFrance_english_01.pdf (.PDF, 1.7 MB)

Convergence of banking and telecoms

Convergence of banking and telecoms

Will digitalization encourage cooperation?

Telecom operators and retail banks have been converging for years. As remaining barriers vanish and extrinsic factors push further convergence, banks will see increasing competition from telecom operators, which will aggressively enter into financial services, especially in transactional lines of business. In this Viewpoint, we explore the opportunities for competition or co-opetition between these industries that are ready for cross-fertilization.

Released: February 2015

Download File ADL_ConvergenceOfBankingAndTelecoms.pdf (.PDF, 864 Kb)

The future of lignite power

The future of lignite power

A viewpoint on the “Energiewende” and its impact on lignite power

After nuclear, the future of lignite will be the next big discussion on the energy agenda. The German “Energiewende” is the world’s most ambitious program to transform the electric energy system of a country: at the same time energy efficiency and the share of renewable energies has to increase while use of nuclear power and other fossil-fuel energy practices has to be stopped. It allows lignite power to exist under economically viable conditions, but close monitoring of risks, regulation, management and strategy are key to staying ahead of the developments and proactively shaping the framing conditions.

Released: February 2015

Download File ADL_FutureOfLignitePower.pdf (.PDF, 2.2 MB)

Management audits, the great unknowns

Management audits, the great unknowns

Time to review top management performance in public and private entities

During the last years there have been circumstances (high debt ratios, lack of capital and markets crisis in certain industries) that have pushed for public investment into private companies and whole industries to turn around critical situations. To ensure the fulfilment of this objective, especially considering public scrutiny over the investments, it is advisable to establish governance practices to assure that the situation is solved, properly and on time. One of these governance practices is the Management Audit.

Released: February 2015

Download File ADL_Management_audits.pdf (.PDF, 512 Kb)

Reforming the energy subsidy system in the Middle East

Reforming the energy subsidy system in the Middle East

Who could lead the region?

Half of the world’s total energy subsidies bill of USD 480 bn comes from the Middle East, eating up more than one-quarter of governments’ revenues. Energy-intensive industries and households make the region require more fuel to produce a unit of GDP than any other region. Positive demography and economic growth, driven by energy-intensive production, are driving up overall energy consumption even more. Without reforming or abandoning energy price subsidies, governments are very likely to see further increase in their already-high subsidy costs, further compromising more other economically efficient public spending priorities. It is evident that the pressure is on and governments must simply reform their energy price subsidies. However, they face a number of real challenges when revising their energy pricing systems, as energy pricing reform has potential to induce two major effects: decline in households’ welfare, and erosion of regional industries’ global competitiveness. So what, then, are the key considerations and success factors governments should consider and reflect in their efforts to reform their respective subsidy systems, but at the same time ensure that potential negative politico-economic and social implications are efficiently mitigated? Does the region need a leader whose reform outcomes would set examples of successful reform policies that are sharable across the region and create reform momentum?

Released: February 2015

Download File ADL_ReformingEnerySubsidySystems.pdf (.PDF, 870 Kb)

Creating value in telecoms consolidation

Creating value in telecoms consolidation

Lessons learned – Benchmarks – Recommendations

Europe and in fact the world experiences a record wave of telecom merger activity. Mergers are generally expected to create significant value via the realization of synergies – not just in the Network and IT area (remaining the bulk synergy source) but also in Distribution and Marketing, SG&A and – more uncertain – in the revenue area. The challenge for shareholders, lenders and merger / post-merger integration executives is to actually achieve these synergies. This becomes ever more important as synergies tend to justify ever higher proportions of the purchasing price. Our viewpoint provides analysis, lessons-learned, benchmarks, time needed to achieve synergies and hands-on tips derived from a close look at four mobile-mobile mergers in the EU and largely valid for any combination of telecom mergers.

Released: January 2015

Download File ADL_CreatingValueInTelecomsConsolidation.pdf (.PDF, 571 Kb)