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Mobile payment

Mobile payment

Is this the turning point?

Mobile payment has been on the agenda of numerous players across industries for more than a decade. Now, with Apple Pay launched and the markets getting equipped, mobile payment may finally take off, also in developed markets. Most recent example underlining the potential for a final uptake, the German grocery chain ALDI, known as a rather traditional player, announced the introduction of mobile payment in Germany, a country with a current cash share of more than 80%.

Our report takes this opportunity to shed some light on the latest developments of the ecosystem, compare the maturity of existing solutions, and analyze the enablers for mobile payment to take off in Western markets. We  then discuss how players in the industry from MNOs, banks and payment networks to merchants and handset manufacturers should position to take advantage of the opportunity window.

Released: August 2015

Download File ADL_M-payment.pdf (.PDF, 275 Kb)

The "Chief Digital Dilemma"

The "Chief Digital Dilemma"

The thin red line between the success and failure of the chief digital officer… and the need for the role

Digitization is omnipresent, and many companies are starting to bundle free-floating responsibilities into a single unit or person: the chief digital office(r). Yet many fail in their attempts to get real value out of such a position and wonder what happened to their ambitious digital plans and ideas. A significant number of established CDOs have vanished, leaving a vacuum of digital responsibility.

Often the issue is in the set-up of the role. By clearly defining the scope and responsibilities of such an entity, companies might find that they don’t even need a separate position.

Released: August 2015

Download File ADL_ChiefDigitalDilemma.pdf (.PDF, 297 Kb)

Can Group 1 base oil come back?

Can Group 1 base oil come back?

The impact of the lower crude prices on the global base oil markets

The global lubricants and base oil markets have had a challenging start to the new millennium. Annual growth has, on average, been well below global GDP growth due to technology improvements in transportation and industry. Furthermore, changing standards are leading to a gradual replacement of Group I-based products to Group II- and III-based products, resulting in plant closures around the world. However, the lower oil prices might lead to temporary relief for Group I producers and an additional boost for the entire industry.

The global economy is benefiting from declining oil prices due to the higher economic multiplier in the typically poorer oil importing countries. Consequently, base oil consumption in the transportation sector, as an example, will increase through both growing purchasing power (new and second-hand car sales) and increasing car usage. Even though transportation fuel is a commodity with a low elasticity of around 0.1, the current steep drop in oil prices implies a demand increase of up to 5% over the next few years.

Released: August 2015

Download File ADL_BaseOil.pdf (.PDF, 258 Kb)

High Throughput Satellites (detailed report)

High Throughput Satellites (detailed report)

Delivering Future Capacity Needs

Advances in satellite communications technology in recent years have led to a significant increase in throughput delivered from a raft of new ‘High Throughput Satellite’ (HTS) systems. More than a dozen such satellites have been launched in recent years and several more will go into orbit in the coming years. These satellites support diverse user requirements and use cases – from ‘connecting the unconnected’ to providing secure and resilient communications to industries, SMEs and all end users.

In this extended commercial and technical white paper we explore in particular the performance tradeoffs, and note the growing importance of higher frequency systems, given the significant spectrum allocations and high performance in key deployment areas. HTS systems offer a step change in bandwidth delivery to support a host of diverse customer requirements. The raft of systems launched must balance tradeoffs that affect system performance, user experience and cost of service, which are extensively modelled and reviewed.  This report highlights that the choices available in terms of geographic footprint, performance and cost are many, so it is increasingly important for users to carefully consider their actual use case requirements.

We would also like to thank Prof. Michel Bousquet, of Institut Supérieur de l'Aéronautique et de l'Espace, Toulouse, and Avanti Communications  for their collaboration and support in the development of this paper.

In addition to this detailed whitepaper, an executive summary version is available.

Released: July 2015

Download File ADL_High_Throughput_Satellites-Main_Report.pdf (.PDF, 1.5 MB)

High Throughput Satellites (summary)

High Throughput Satellites (summary)

Delivering Future Capacity Needs

Advances in satellite communications technology in recent years have led to a massive increase in throughput delivered from a raft of new ‘HighThroughput Satellites’. More than a dozen such satellites have been recently launched and several more will go into orbit in the coming years. These satellites support diverse user requirements and use cases – from ‘connecting the unconnected’ to providing secure and resilient communications to industries, SMEs and all end users.

In this executive summary of an extended commercial and technical white paper we explore, in particular the performance tradeoffs and note the growing importance of higher frequency systems, given the significant spectrum allocations and high performance in key deployment areas.

We would also like to thank Prof. Michel Bousquet, of Institut Supérieur de l'Aéronautique et de l'Espace, Toulouse, and Avanti Communications  for their collaboration and support in the development of this paper.

In addition to this executive summary, a detailed whitepaper is available.

Released: July 2015

Download File ADL_High_Throughput_Satellites-Viewpoint.pdf (.PDF, 1.4 MB)

Unlocking global LNG market value

Unlocking global LNG market value

Market changes require portfolio transformation

Global gas price convergence, predicted last year to take more than a decade to develop, is expected instead to arrive this year, as a direct result of the increase in short-term LNG trading, the relative over-supply of gas and the drop in oil price indexes.  One single global gas market is therefore now emerging, from the previously fragmented sub- markets, leading to new arbitrage opportunities which will emerge for players at all points along the value chain.  Major LNG players with global reach will certainly be able to take advantage of this change by the adoption of innovative portfolio and contracting designs which enable them to optimize the use of their global liquefaction positions.  Opportunities will also be available to those individual buyers able to transform their trading portfolios and risk management approaches.

Released: July 2015

Download File ADL_Unlocking_LNG_value.pdf (.PDF, 1.3 MB)

Managing Global Production Networks

Managing Global Production Networks

Study Results June 2015

Global megatrends create transformation pressure  on the manufacturing industry and their global production networks. Our recent study on “Managing global production networks” analyzed how companies are achieving high performing  production networks e.g. by managing network goals, network structure and network coordination. It became obvious that  today’s global competition requires companies to strengthen network capabilities vs. a site capabilities and are able to constantly evolve the network design to respond to the dynamic market in an agile way. Key discipline is the strategic management  of the network with a holistic optimization of the entire network. There is a clear requirement of a higher degree of centralization and standardization whilst meeting local requirements at the same time. High performing companies have established a regular knowledge transfer between the plants and a regular KPI-based performance measurement of the entire network.

Released: June 2015

Download File ADL_ProductionNetworkStudy.pdf (.PDF, 876 Kb)

Connecting the dots

Connecting the dots

Telecommunication providers as enablers for Smart Cities

Smart Cities are evolving around the globe – each distinct in nature, which implies that these eco-systems are driven by a variety of stakeholders with different ambitions and visions. Arthur D. Little has supported several best-practice Smart City projects globally to increase the level of “smartness“ and sustainability within this complex eco-system. With our proven framework, Arthur D. Little was able to increase the flexibility and adoptability of services and business models, thus enabling the creation of unique and valuable „Smart City“ models across the world.

With this Viewpoint, we address key questions regarding the overall design of a Smart City, how different players should position themselves in the value chain, as well as how to create significant business for the participating stakeholders.

Released: June 2015

Download File ADL_SmartCity_Telcos-as-enablers.pdf (.PDF, 355 Kb)

Urban Logistics

Urban Logistics

How to unlock value from last mile delivery for cities, transporters and retailers

Today, 64% of all travel happens within urban environments, and the total amount of urban kilometers traveled is expected to triple by 2050. A similar trend is anticipated in terms of urban goods distribution, with e-commerce being the fastest-growing driver of urban deliveries, which also impacts the length and fragmentation of urban logistics flows. As a growing number of vehicles in urban areas implies increased congestion, air pollution and noise, which negatively impact traffic safety, quality of life and urban economic competitiveness, more and more cities are experiencing issues related to last mile delivery of goods.

Last mile delivery of goods is a difficult issue to apprehend, as it involves several levels of complexity. In addition to the heterogeneity of the goods transported and of the means of transportation, urban logistics encompass diverse levers and multiple stakeholders.

Released: June 2015

Download File ADL_Urban_Logistics.pdf (.PDF, 478 Kb)

Delivering the promise, with lower oil prices

Delivering the promise, with lower oil prices

Building in higher efficiency

Companies owning and operating oil and gas assets, especially under “new normal” oil prices of less than $75/day, will often need to embrace substantial transformational change in order to be truly successful. This is particularly so for smaller companies aiming to develop new assets or grow their production portfolio, but it also applies to the more established operators which may instead need to overturn the inertia of many years of established ways of working.

Released: June 2015

Download File ADL_Energy_Oil_Gas_Connect.pdf (.PDF, 805 Kb)